MacroBessent

2026-09-18 12:23 UTCAccount
S&P 5007,637.76+1.14%Nasdaq26,418.30+1.69%Dow51,778.04+0.61%Nikkei 22565,018.95+1.38%Hang Seng24,750.78+0.60%EuroStoxx 506,258.47-1.02%Dollar (DXY)100.50+0.28%EUR/USD1.15-0.05%USD/JPY157.84+1.17%GBP/USD1.33-0.28%USD/CNY6.69-0.27%US 10Y yield4.95-1.18%US 5Y yield4.80-1.19%Gold4,415.60+0.36%Silver67.46+3.05%Copper6.66+1.16%Platinum1,819.00+1.54%Palladium1,340.00+3.86%WTI96.23-5.57%Brent98.58-5.95%Henry Hub2.85-1.62%Gasoline3.19-9.16%Heating oil4.87-4.77%Wheat724.00-0.41%Corn529.50-0.19%Soybeans1,307.00-0.97%Coffee277.10-4.63%Sugar18.40+5.63%Cocoa5,444.00-5.68%Cotton82.25+4.90%Lithium ETF70.90+1.50%Uranium ETF42.68+3.17%Rare Earths ETF69.10+2.20%Copper Miners ETF86.61+2.87%Bitcoin78,000.01+2.09%Ethereum2,508.04+2.49%Solana105.76+4.09%S&P 5007,637.76+1.14%Nasdaq26,418.30+1.69%Dow51,778.04+0.61%Nikkei 22565,018.95+1.38%Hang Seng24,750.78+0.60%EuroStoxx 506,258.47-1.02%Dollar (DXY)100.50+0.28%EUR/USD1.15-0.05%USD/JPY157.84+1.17%GBP/USD1.33-0.28%USD/CNY6.69-0.27%US 10Y yield4.95-1.18%US 5Y yield4.80-1.19%Gold4,415.60+0.36%Silver67.46+3.05%Copper6.66+1.16%Platinum1,819.00+1.54%Palladium1,340.00+3.86%WTI96.23-5.57%Brent98.58-5.95%Henry Hub2.85-1.62%Gasoline3.19-9.16%Heating oil4.87-4.77%Wheat724.00-0.41%Corn529.50-0.19%Soybeans1,307.00-0.97%Coffee277.10-4.63%Sugar18.40+5.63%Cocoa5,444.00-5.68%Cotton82.25+4.90%Lithium ETF70.90+1.50%Uranium ETF42.68+3.17%Rare Earths ETF69.10+2.20%Copper Miners ETF86.61+2.87%Bitcoin78,000.01+2.09%Ethereum2,508.04+2.49%Solana105.76+4.09%

Commentary

The daily read, newest first. Every chart, every date.

Dailies

Quantamental Open Daily2026-09-19

Quantamental Open Daily. 20 of 37 priced symbols closed the last session higher. Largest gain Solana +11.71%; largest fall Cocoa -7.66%.

Closing Tape Daily2026-09-18

21 of 37 priced symbols closed higher. Widest gain Sugar +5.63%; widest fall Gasoline -9.16%. Trailing week beside each.

Morning Macro Brief2026-09-18

20 of 37 priced symbols closed the last session higher. Largest gain Solana +6.20%; largest fall Gasoline -8.25%.

Quantamental Close Daily2026-09-18

Quantamental Close Daily. 21 of 37 priced symbols closed higher. Widest gain Sugar +5.63%; widest fall Gasoline -9.16%.

Overnight Changes Daily2026-09-16

Last issue 2026-09-16: newest issue is 3 days old against a daily cadence (2-day staleness limit)

36 leaves moved overnight across 12 titles; 149 carried forward unchanged.

Editions

Crude Breaks 5.6% Lower With Positioning at a Three-Year Long Extreme2026-09-18

MARKET OVERVIEW: Crude oil broke down 5.57% on the day (WTI, to 96.23) and 5.95% (Brent, to 98.58) while positioning data showed crude futures net-long at the 98.7th percentile of three ...

Crude Sinks as Long Positioning and Hormuz Traffic Both Hit Three-Year Extremes2026-09-17

MARKET OVERVIEW: WTI fell 1.94% on the day and 1.99% on the week to $100.44 while CFTC data show the crude net long adding 1,432 contracts to reach the 98.7th percentile of its ...

Crude's 9% Weekly Surge Meets a Crowded Long2026-09-08

MARKET OVERVIEW: WTI is up 9.51% on the week to $93.92 and Brent up 9.04% to $98.67, even as gasoline fell 4.72% on the day to $3.0628 — a split that rarely holds together. Crude's COT ...

VIX at 15, but Crude, Gas and Copper Positioning Sit at Three-Year Extremes2026-09-07

MARKET OVERVIEW: The regime read is risk_on (78% of weighted votes) with VIX at 15, 2s10s at +0.41 and HY OAS at 265bp, and the macro stress gauge sits at 1.7, Low. Underneath that calm ...

Calm Tape, Crowded Positioning2026-09-06

MARKET OVERVIEW: A hot data day (ISM Services 55.4 vs. 54.3 expected, NFP 162K vs. 56K expected) supports a pre-vote risk-on regime with VIX at 15 and macro stress at just 1.7 (Low). ...

Payrolls Triple Estimates, Stress Model Says Not So Fast2026-09-05

Nonfarm payrolls printed 162K against a 56K consensus and ISM Services accelerated to 55.4, the strongest of the cycle so far. Yet our regime model flipped out of risk-on and the ...

MacroBessent is a research publication and is not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything.